Market Update

May 2026 Market Update

The Central Texas housing market carried meaningful momentum through April as buyers responded to a temporary dip in mortgage rates earlier this spring. Across the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos region, pending sales and closed transactions both increased year over year, signaling that many buyers who had been waiting on the sidelines moved quickly once borrowing conditions became more manageable. Activity levels through much of the spring market reflected renewed confidence and steady underlying demand. Over the past several weeks, we have remained very active preparing and launching new listings, including a golf course property in Teravista and a ranch listing outside of Kempner. Several additional transactions are also progressing toward closing as the market continues moving through the spring season. More recently, however, mortgage rates have moved higher again as broader economic uncertainty tied to ongoing conflict in the Middle East has affected financial markets. We have noticed that shift producing a temporary lull in buyer activity over the past couple of weeks, particularly among buyers already sensitive to monthly payment changes. Even so, the underlying pattern in the market remains consistent. Well-prepared homes that enter the market with disciplined pricing and thoughtful positioning are continuing to attract meaningful buyer interest. Buyers remain active, but they are moving carefully and evaluating value more closely than they did during the overheated markets of previous years. This remains a market where preparation, positioning, negotiation, and timing all work together to shape outcome. As we move toward the summer months, we expect buyer activity to respond positively if mortgage rates settle down and broader economic uncertainty begins to ease. In the meantime, realistic pricing, strong presentation, and disciplined execution continue to create leverage for both buyers and sellers across Central Texas. At the ranch, we are still enjoying an unusually wet spring while preparing for the Texas heat that we know is eventually on the way.
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April 2026 Market Update

Preparation. Positioning. Negotiation. Results. Out at the ranch we finally picked up a good rain — the creek is running again and everything is starting to green up. On the business side, activity has been steady. We recently put a Georgetown listing under contract, closed another in Lago Vista, and are working with buyers from Bertram to Johnson City while preparing a high-end home in Round Rock for market. That activity lines up with what we’re seeing across Central Texas — the market is moving, but it is more selective and more price-sensitive than it has been in recent years. Central Texas Market Update — March & Q1 2026 According to the March and Q1 2026 Central Texas Housing Report released by Unlock MLS, the Austin–Round Rock–San Marcos MSA is showing renewed activity as we move into the spring selling season. In March: Median home price: $426,220 (lowest March level since 2021) Closed sales: 2,593 transactions (+0.5% year-over-year) Pending sales: 3,357 transactions (+15.4%) That increase in pending sales is important — it shows buyers are actively stepping back into the market. First Quarter 2026 Overview Across the first quarter: Median home price: $415,300 (down 3.4%) Active listings: 33,751 homes (+4.5%) Months of inventory: 5.5 months Inventory levels have improved, giving buyers more choices and more leverage than we’ve seen in several years. What This Means in Real Terms The quarterly data tells part of the story, but the shift from February into March is more telling. Buyer activity is increasing, but decisions are more deliberate. Homes that are: well prepared | realistically priced | thoughtfully positioned are still attracting attention and moving. Homes that miss on those points are sitting longer and requiring adjustments.  A More Balanced Market We are continuing to move toward more balanced conditions between buyers and sellers. As noted by Unlock MLS market research advisor Vaike O’Grady: “Buyers are out there and making moves when the price is right… more attainable pricing is creating new opportunities, especially for first-time buyers.” That aligns closely with what we are seeing in day-to-day activity. Our Perspective This is not a stalled market — it is a more disciplined one. Preparation, positioning, and pricing matter more than they have in years. For sellers, that means strategy up front matters. For buyers, it means more opportunity — but also the need to act decisively when the right property appears. If you are considering a move and want to understand how preparation, positioning, and negotiation work together to shape the result, we would be glad to talk.  
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March 2026 Market Update

As we move toward the spring selling season, the Central Texas housing market is beginning to show signs of renewed momentum. Over the past few weeks, we have seen a noticeable thaw in activity. Several well-prepared listings that entered the market with disciplined pricing moved to contract quickly, and more properties are preparing to come to market as confidence gradually returns. Recent regional data reflects this shift. Pending sales increased compared to the same period last year, while active listings declined modestly across the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos region. At the same time, the close-to-list price ratio improved, suggesting that buyers and sellers are becoming more aligned in their expectations. This does not indicate a return to the overheated conditions of prior years. Instead, it points to a more balanced and functioning market environment — one where opportunities exist for both buyers and sellers who approach decisions with preparation and clear strategy. Buyers are re-engaging, but they remain thoughtful. Sellers are achieving results when homes are positioned intentionally and priced in alignment with current conditions. In many cases, timing, terms, and negotiation structure continue to play as important a role as price itself. As the traditional spring market begins to take shape, leverage is being created less through urgency and more through disciplined execution. Properties that enter the market prepared — and supported by realistic positioning — are attracting stronger interest and more meaningful buyer response. For those considering a move this year, understanding how preparation, pricing, and negotiation influence outcome will be increasingly important as activity builds across Central Texas.
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February 2026 Market Update

The Central Texas housing market is entering 2026 with steady inventory, stable pricing, and renewed buyer activity. According to the most recent data from Unlock MLS, pending sales rose to 2,349 transactions — up 10.1% year over year and more than 23% from December. As we approach the spring season, that increase signals that buyers are re-engaging, even if they are moving more deliberately than in previous years. Active listings remain steady at just over 10,000 properties, while months of inventory has declined compared to last year — indicating that demand is beginning to absorb new supply more efficiently. The median home price currently stands at $400,495, down modestly year over year but holding within a stable range. What this reflects is a market that has normalized. We are no longer in the overheated conditions of prior years. Instead, supply, pricing, and demand are interacting in a more predictable pattern. That stability creates a healthier foundation for both buyers and sellers — but it also requires more discipline. Homes are selling. Buyers are purchasing. Transactions are closing. But deals are taking more preparation and more thoughtful negotiation to reach the finish line. Pricing decisions matter. Preparation matters. Terms and timing matter. In this environment, leverage is created through structured strategy and disciplined execution — not urgency. If you are considering buying or selling this spring, understanding how positioning influences outcome will be increasingly important.
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January 2026 Market Snapshot

In 2025, while closed sales across the Central Texas MSA dipped 3.2% to 29,383 transactions, buyer activity gained traction in the second half of the year as pricing continued to normalize and inventory settled after peaking midyear. These trends reflect a market that recalibrated and moved toward greater balance and predictability. Vaike O’Grady, research advisor at Unlock MLS, noted that December 2025 data mirrored broader behavioral shifts in the market, reflecting how both buyers and sellers adjusted their approach throughout the year to navigate changing conditions more successfully. As the year progressed, sellers recalibrated expectations, buyers reengaged, and overall market pace normalized. December 2025 figures confirmed that shift, with more than 2,500 closed home sales — an increase compared to December 2024 — even as buyers moved more deliberately and pricing remained realistic. Looking ahead to 2026, experts anticipate continued stability in the Central Texas housing market. Mortgage rates are projected to remain near 6%, with home sales and prices expected to hold relatively flat. At the same time, improving affordability and a resilient local job market position the region to weather broader national uncertainty and support gradual, sustainable growth. 2025 reinforced that success in today’s housing market isn’t simply about timing. Preparation, strategy, and trusted guidance remain key factors in navigating evolving conditions. Pfau & Company Realtors serves Central Texas, with a primary focus on Williamson, Burnet, and Travis counties, including Liberty Hill, Georgetown, and surrounding Hill Country communities.
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December 2025 Market Snapshot

Merry Christmas to you and your family. According to the November 2025 Central Texas Housing Report released by Unlock MLS, pending sales in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA rose 4.5% to 2,269 pending sales, and inventory reached 6.3 months, the highest level recorded in over a year. While prices remained stable—dipping 1.1% year over year to $430,000—closed sales fell 15.9% to 1,895 transactions. "It is important to remember that November 2024 sales were boosted by the Fed's first cut in interest rates, and mortgage rates moved accordingly. This year's 16% drop appears steeper than it might under typical conditions,” Vaike O'Grady, market research advisor for Unlock MLS, said. “While October’s government shutdown likely impacted November 2025 closings, the 5% year-over-year increase in pending sales is encouraging and shows that motivated buyers are reentering the market.” ***For buyer's and seller's, inventory is up and rates are going down slowly. Get prepared to buy or sell if you have been waiting! Contact us for guidance.Merry Christmas to you and your family. According to the November 2025 Central Texas Housing Report released by Unlock MLS, pending sales in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA rose 4.5% to 2,269 pending sales, and inventory reached 6.3 months, the highest level recorded in over a year. While prices remained stable—dipping 1.1% year over year to $430,000—closed sales fell 15.9% to 1,895 transactions. "It is important to remember that November 2024 sales were boosted by the Fed's first cut in interest rates, and mortgage rates moved accordingly. This year's 16% drop appears steeper than it might under typical conditions,” Vaike O'Grady, market research advisor for Unlock MLS, said. “While October’s government shutdown likely impacted November 2025 closings, the 5% year-over-year increase in pending sales is encouraging and shows that motivated buyers are reentering the market.”  ***For buyer's and seller's, inventory is up and rates are going down slowly. Get prepared to buy or sell if you have been waiting! Contact us for guidance. Pfau & Company Realtors serves Central Texas, with a primary focus on Williamson, Burnet, and Travis counties, including Liberty Hill, Georgetown, and surrounding Hill Country communities.
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